Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics
Workshop 8 - 2005

September 17, 2005. 1:30 -- 3:30 Baker Hall Giant Eagle Auditorium
Carnegie Mellon University
Pittsburgh, PA

Panel Discussion
"Subjectivism vs. Objectivism: Two Views of Bayesian Analysis"
Moderator: Susie Bayarri

If you want to contribute a discussion to the Panel, please submit your abstract directly to susie.bayarri@uv.es. You will be notified by September 11, at the latest, whether your contribution will be orally presented at the Panel.


The Case for Objective Bayesian Analysis

Full Paper as PDF
James Berger
Duke University and SAMSI

Abstract:

Bayesian statistical practice makes extensive use of versions of objective Bayesian analysis. We discuss why this is so, and address some of the criticisms that have been raised concerning objective Bayesian analysis. The dangers of treating the issue too casually are also considered. In particular, we suggest that the statistical community should accept formal objective Bayesian techniques with confidence, but should be more cautious about casual objective Bayesian techniques.

Keywords: History of objective Bayes, reference priors, matching priors, invariance, information, Jeffreys priors, frequentist validation, subjective Bayes, elicitation, unification of statistics, coherency, marginalization paradox, vague proper priors, data dependent priors


Subjective Bayesian Analysis: Principles and Practice

Full Paper as
PDF
Michael Goldstein
Department of Mathematical Sciences
University of Durham, UK
Abstract:

We address the position of subjectivism within Bayesian statistics. we argue, firstly that the subjectivist Bayes approach is the only feasible method for tacking many important practical problems. Secondly, we describe the essential role of the subjectivist approach in scientific analysis. Finally, we consider possible modifications to the Bayesian approach form a subjectivist viewpoint.

Keywords: coherency, exchangeability, physical model analysis, high reliability testing, objective Bayes, temporal sure preference



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