Figure 5 illustrates the effects of the price changes implied by
an optimal constrained micro-marketing pricing strategy with a moderate
prior. Each boxplot denotes the store-level price changes for each
product. To illustrate the effects of these price changes consider
Minute Maid 64 Oz. In over 75% of the stores we would want to increase
the price of this product. Certain products have very broad ranges in
price movements, like Florida Natural in which the prices in some stores
are increased by 10% and others are decreased by 10%. Although it is
possible for the average price for any particular product across stores
to increase, the revenue and average price across products within a
store must remain constant due to our constraints.
Figure: Boxplots of Constrained Optimal Price Changes Across
Stores
In section 5 we discussed the sensitivity to the prior in
terms of out-of-sample predictions. In this section we can use a more
natural metric, profits, to evaluate the sensitivity of the posterior to
changes in the prior. It is clear from Table 7 that the posterior is
sensitive to changes in the prior, as our prior becomes weaker the store
specific differences grow and we find larger store-level demand
differences. Yet whatever the strength of our prior beliefs, we still
reach the same substantive conclusions that store-level differences in
price sensitivity can be measured and translated into profitable
micro-marketing strategies.