class: center, middle, inverse, title-slide # Welcome to SURE ## Background and overview ### June 6th, 2022 --- ## Meet the instructors <img src="https://media1.tenor.com/images/e04caa040893f7d3fc11c24f6fab2de4/tenor.gif?itemid=8079093" width="85%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ## Meet the instructors .pull-left[ - Instructor: __Professor Ron Yurko__ ([@Stat_Ron](https://twitter.com/Stat_Ron)) - [@CMU_Stats](https://twitter.com/CMU_Stats) PhD '22, BS '15 - Incoming Assistant Teaching Professor - Industry experience: Pittsburgh Pirates '14, finance '16-'17, [Zelus Analytics](https://zelusanalytics.com/) '21-'22 - Research: statistical genetics, selective inference, clustering, and statistics in sports / sports analytics - Star Wars, Marvel, and Pittsburgh sports fan ] .pull-right[ Teaching Assistants! - [Nick Kissel](mailto:nkissel@andrew.cmu.edu) - [Wanshan Li](mailto:wanshanl@andrew.cmu.edu) - [Meg Ellingwood](mailto:mellingw@andrew.cmu.edu) - [Kenta Takatsu](mailto:ktakatsu@andrew.cmu.edu) - [YJ Choe](mailto:yjchoe@cmu.edu) ] --- ## Statistics in sports research? You might think statistics in sports or sports analytics research is relatively new... -- .pull-left[ Professors [Brad Efron](http://statweb.stanford.edu/~ckirby/brad/) and [Carl Morris](https://statistics.fas.harvard.edu/people/carl-n-morris) disagree - "Data analysis using Stein's estimator and its generalizations" - _Journal of the American Statistical Association_ (__1975__) - Introduction of __Empirical Bayes__ to sports - Improve accuracy by pooling information from other players ] .pull-right[ .center[] ] --- ## Everything __starts with the data__ .center[] Cervone et al. ["A multiresolution stochastic process model for predicting basketball possession outcomes."](https://arxiv.org/pdf/1408.0777.pdf) _Journal of the American Statistical Association_ (2016) --- ## Everything __starts with the data__ .center[] Cervone et al. ["A multiresolution stochastic process model for predicting basketball possession outcomes."](https://arxiv.org/pdf/1408.0777.pdf) _Journal of the American Statistical Association_ (2016) --- ## NFL Big Data Bowl tracking data example <img src="http://www.stat.cmu.edu/cmsac/sure/materials/img/rfcde_gif_td_run_update.gif" width="150%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> Yurko et al. ["Going deep: models for continuous-time within-play valuation of game outcomes in American football with tracking data."](https://arxiv.org/pdf/1906.01760.pdf) _Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports_ (2020) --- ## [CMU Delphi COVIDcast](https://delphi.cmu.edu/covidcast/) <img src="https://cmu-delphi.github.io/covidcast/covidcastR/articles/plotting-signals_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-5-1.png" width="70%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- ### General outline and key dates (subject to change, all times in EST) __Lectures__: Monday to Friday, 10:30 AM to 12 PM - Prof Yurko's office hours are Monday and Wednesdays 3:30 to 5:00 PM in 132D __Labs__: Monday to Thursday, 1:30 to 3 PM (sports in 232M and health in 129A) - Will begin with mini projects & practice presentations before shift to focus on main projects -- .pull-left[ - First two weeks, June 6-17: - EDA, data visualization, - Clustering - June 21-30: - Linear models, model assessment, regularization - Splines, GAMs, and PCA ] -- .pull-right[ - July 6 - July 15: - GLMs - Tree-based models - Labs will shift focus to main projects - July 18 - 29: - Special topics (e.g., survival analysis) - Focus on projects! Plus many guest speakers (__check your email!__) ] --- ## Goals for the summer .pull-left[ - Develop fundamentals research skills: data wrangling, visualization, modeling, communication - Become familiar with `R`, `tidyverse`, `ggplot2`, `markdown`, GitHub - Complete statistical learning bootcamp - Create a portfolio of projects with GitHub and practice reproducible research - __All presentations will be made using `R` Markdown with [xaringan](https://bookdown.org/yihui/rmarkdown/xaringan.html)!__ - Network with academic researchers and industry professionals - Optum speaker series, Wednesdays at 12 PM ] -- .pull-right[ __Ask questions, learn, and grow__ .center[] Sports Academic Advisor: Glenn Clune ([gclune@andrew.cmu.edu](mailto:gclune@andrew.cmu.edu)) Health Academic Advisor: Amanda Mitchell ([ajmitche@andrew.cmu.edu](mailto:ajmitche@andrew.cmu.edu)) ] --- ## Resources to remember! - Program website: [http://www.stat.cmu.edu/cmsac/sure/2022/materials/](http://www.stat.cmu.edu/cmsac/sure/2022/materials/) - Check out the [References](http://stat.cmu.edu/cmsac/sure/2022/materials/references.html) tab for links to online textbooks and other useful references - [Data Sources](http://stat.cmu.edu/cmsac/sure/2022/materials/data_sources.html) tab for links to various public datasets - We will also use slack to communicate, share interesting articles and materials throughout the summer - See previous email with the workspace invitation link -- .center[] --- ## SURE alumni .pull-left[ <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Getting to work in the NHL has been a dream come true💛🖤! Super excited to continue working with Sam, Nick, and others in the Penguins organizations moving forward! <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/LetsGoPens?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#LetsGoPens</a> <a href="https://t.co/h509BMkgOn">https://t.co/h509BMkgOn</a></p>&mdash; Katerina Wu (@kattaqueue) <a href="https://twitter.com/kattaqueue/status/1369366870009208833?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 9, 2021</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> ] .pull-right[ <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Happy and humbled to announce that I&#39;ll be returning to the one and only <a href="https://twitter.com/CMU_Stats?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@CMU_Stats</a> as a PhD student this fall!<br>See you in Pittsburgh!</p>&mdash; Thea Sukianto (@stats_sukianto) <a href="https://twitter.com/stats_sukianto/status/1373010973733257217?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 19, 2021</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> ] --- ## SURE alumni .pull-left[ <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Super excited and honored to be chosen as one of the winners of this year&#39;s <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/BigDataBowl?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#BigDataBowl</a>! Big shoutouts to <a href="https://twitter.com/sarahrunbailey?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@sarahrunbailey</a> for being a fantastic mentor and <a href="https://twitter.com/StatsbyLopez?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@StatsbyLopez</a> and crew for putting this amazing competition together! <a href="https://t.co/Z5VSq6xpwJ">https://t.co/Z5VSq6xpwJ</a></p>&mdash; Jill Reiner (@jillhreiner) <a href="https://twitter.com/jillhreiner/status/1357732578309009411?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">February 5, 2021</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> ] .pull-right[ <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Thank you <a href="https://twitter.com/SloanSportsConf?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@SloanSportsConf</a> for an outstanding conference. <a href="https://twitter.com/j_bosch10?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@j_bosch10</a> <a href="https://t.co/3ekyk0wvHC">https://t.co/3ekyk0wvHC</a></p>&mdash; Sam Kalman (@sam_kalman_) <a href="https://twitter.com/sam_kalman_/status/1236435614452592643?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 7, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> ] --- class: center, middle # And now it's your turn... -- # (but we're here to help!)